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05/13/08
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05/13/08
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Meetings
Meeting Document Type
Agenda
Document Title
Housing & Redevelopment Authority
Document Date
05/13/2008
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<br />Housing Opportunities in Ramsey <br /> <br />When people talk about our current residential housing environment, they often refer to it as a <br />"down market." While "down" may be descriptive of what many are experiencing personally, it <br />might be better stated as a "correcting market." Changes took root throughout 2007 that have set <br />the stage for a slow and gradual rebound in 2008. We have come to realize that there are no <br />quick fixes or band-aid solutions to housing market fundamentals, especially with still fragile <br />affordability, changes in lender policies as a result of the credit crisis, and dampened consumer <br />confidence. While the decrease in residential home sales prices understandably causes anxiety <br />for some, especially sellers, it also means fantastic opportunities for home buyers who are <br />desperately needed for future growth of the housing market. In the City of Ramsey, attracting <br />more of those first time home buyers may in fact be a short term solution to help jump start many <br />other facets of the city's economic stability and growth. <br /> <br />At a networking event with other real estate agents earlier this year, one agent noted reading that <br />there had been a 24% increase in average rents over last year. Demand for rental housing is <br />increasing as more families sell or lose their homes in foreclosure, so rent prices will continue to <br />increase. This change in the rental market also means that many potential home buyers can now <br />purchase a home for the same or less than rent in many cases. First time home buyers also need <br />to buy in order to create a ripple effect of benefits throughout the other housing price points and <br />the city. <br /> <br />Looking at the town home/condo segment of the market, there are additional concerns growing. <br />Bank-owned properties and homeowners facing a short sale/foreclosure are generally not paying <br />monthly association dues. This loss of revenue could result in higher monthly association dues <br />for residents in that town home complex and/or special assessments for future maintenance <br />projects where funds fall short. Extras expenses in an already strapped personal budget may <br />force the homeowner to sell, which adds to a less- than-ideal cycle of activity. <br /> <br />I suspect the city has already been dealing with additional costs related to the foreclosure market <br />as quantities of short sales and bank-owned properties continue to rise. The condition of these <br />properties could also be an issue with potential homeowners obtaining financing. FHA financing <br />typically requires 3% down, although the Nehemiah Program allows us to coordinate down <br />payment assistance for some FHA loans. Unfortunately, the short sale and bank-owned <br />properties may not be in a condition where they can be approved in the FHA appraisal process <br />(i.e., missing kitchen appliances, peeling paint on 1978-built or older homes, other safety hazards <br />present). The next financing option is a conventional loan with 5% or more as a down payment. <br />(Most other lenders require 10% down, but I have the pleasure of working with one of the few <br />AAA rated, nationally chartered lenders). Unfortunately, Ramsey is part of the second ring of <br />suburbs that is increasing being marked by appraisers as a declining market and/or the area has <br />an oversupply of that style of home. Desktop underwriting activities at the lender level are also <br />beginning to flag some loans in the same manner. When this happens, recent changes to lending <br />guidelines require 5% more down payment to change the loan to value of the home as a <br />protection to the lender. For example, the 5% down loan now requires 10%, and the 10% down <br />loans now then require 1"5% down payment in order to be approved in this scenario. FHA loans <br /> <br />12 <br />
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