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aircraft was not, however, reduced to zero. An assumption of zero operations by <br />piston aircraft would not be reasonable. <br />(3) Military Operations <br />Military activity in this eight airport system is generally restricted to <br />Downtown St. Paul (11,496 in 1988), Minneapolis/St. Paul International (5,092 in <br />1988), and Flying Cloud Airport (1,173 in 1988). Crystal Airport experiences a small <br />number of military operations, averaging 600 ovei the last five years. The remaining <br />four airports experience 100 or fewer military operations annually. <br />Projections of military activity are not generally developed using the same <br />procedures used to develop projections for civil activity. Military activity is a product <br />of defense policy, and therefore does not grow as the market dictates. Increases in <br />population or the buying power of a dollar, for instance, would undoubtedly have <br />some effect on civil aviation. Military activity tends to remain at relatively constant <br />levels. Based on this assumption, military activity in the system was estimated to <br />remain constant throughout 2008 (see Table II-13). <br />4. PROJECTION COMPARISONS <br />In order to test the reasonableness of the GA operations projections, a comparison <br />was made between the projections of this analysis and the projections in the recently <br />completed FAA forecast for the Minneapolis/St. Paul hub. <br />As shown in Table II-14, the projections for the Reliever System compare favorably <br />with the FAA projections. The average annual growth rate was the same for total system <br />operations (2.1 percent), and individual growth rates were similar for four of the airports; <br />the remaining growth rates differed in such a way that further analysis was required. <br />II-10 <br />
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