Airport Master Plan November 1984

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' As shown, by 1995, approximately 35 based aircraft are forecast increasing to approximately 50 to 60 within the 20 year planning period. Each of the forecasts assumes that once improved, the growth of based aircraft will parallel the growth of aviation within the region. The forecasts may be extremely conserva- tive since a likely siphoning off of based aircraft at both Anoka County and Crystal airports may occur dependent on hangar availability and rates. An additional factor which ' would significantly increase the number of forecast based aircraft would be either the closure or imposition of opera- tional restrictions at other metro region airports. ' As shown on Figure 3 -1 of Section 3, a search area for a new minor airport facility has been identified in the MC's Regional Airports System Plan. The proposed search area for ' this facility is located in northwest Hennepin County. Primary functions of this facility would be to provide for future general aviation demand within the Urban Service ' Areas of Hennepin and Carver Counties. It also would pro- vide future relief to Crystal and Flying Cloud Airports. Development of a new facility, however, would most likely not occur until at least the mid- 1990's. The impact of this proposed facility on the forecast demand at Gateway is likely to be minor since Gateway serves a ' different service area and the likely development schedule of Gateway would proceed at a faster pace. 1 5 -4 Due to the planning, funding and acquisition process for federally (Airport Improvement Program) funded airports, ' 1989 appears to be a realistic construction period for improvements. As shown in Table 5 -2, no aircraft are assumed to be based during most of this construction year. ' Once the initial facility improvements are completed, an immediate influx of based aircraft can be expected. The forecast assumes that within two years of facility improve- ments the number of based aircraft will be slightly more , than the four year historic high average of 27 based aircraft. ' From that point, 1991, three growth rates are applied based on MC's forecasts of regional aviation demand. The low forecast assumes a 3.38 annual growth rate. The high growth forecast assumes a 58 annual growth rate, and a mid -range forecast assumes a growth rate of 48 annually. ' As shown, by 1995, approximately 35 based aircraft are forecast increasing to approximately 50 to 60 within the 20 year planning period. Each of the forecasts assumes that once improved, the growth of based aircraft will parallel the growth of aviation within the region. The forecasts may be extremely conserva- tive since a likely siphoning off of based aircraft at both Anoka County and Crystal airports may occur dependent on hangar availability and rates. An additional factor which ' would significantly increase the number of forecast based aircraft would be either the closure or imposition of opera- tional restrictions at other metro region airports. ' As shown on Figure 3 -1 of Section 3, a search area for a new minor airport facility has been identified in the MC's Regional Airports System Plan. The proposed search area for ' this facility is located in northwest Hennepin County. Primary functions of this facility would be to provide for future general aviation demand within the Urban Service ' Areas of Hennepin and Carver Counties. It also would pro- vide future relief to Crystal and Flying Cloud Airports. Development of a new facility, however, would most likely not occur until at least the mid- 1990's. The impact of this proposed facility on the forecast demand at Gateway is likely to be minor since Gateway serves a ' different service area and the likely development schedule of Gateway would proceed at a faster pace. 1 5 -4