Agenda - Council Work Session - 03/06/2000

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December 21, 1999 Draft Table V-5 Pro ected Residential Land Demand Rural Urban Land Single Multi- Land Year Units Demand Family Family Demand (Acres) Units Units (Acres) 1999-2000 20 60 154 66 58 2000-2005 100 300 798 342 304 2005-2010 100 300 798 342 304 2010-2015 100 300 798 342 304 2015-2020 100 300 798 342 304 Total Units 420 1,260 3,346 1,434 1,274 Acres Based on the assumptions made above, residential growth will require roughly 300 acres of MUSA for residential development in each future 5 year period or 60 acres per year. Now that we have estimated the land demand based on Metropolitan Council's projections and the densities established within the Future Land Use Plan we must look at available developable land supply and determine if such projections can be accommodated and if not, what level of development can be accommodated. Table V-6 represents an inventory of vacant residential lands based on the future land use plan and an estimated capacity based on the previously made assumptions on density. Table ¥-6 Available Land Inventory and Estimated Future Development Capacity Land Use Net Average Density of Total Units Developable future Development Acres Units/Net Acre Low Density Residential 420 3.5 1,470 Urban/Rural 430 2 860 Transition Residential Medium Density 69 6 414 High Density 94 15 1,410 Future Urban 'Residential Totals 1,013 4.1 4,154 Future Permanent 'Rural~2 Totals 3,200 .3 96_20 Total All Future Lands 4,213 1.2 5,-1-t-074 t2 This includes both the Rural Preserve area (1200 acres of vacant or ag land at a density of 1 unit per 10 acres or 120 projected units) and the Rural Developing area (2000 acres of vacant or ag land at 1 units per 2.5 acres or 800 units). Together the Permanent Rural area averages out to a density of 1 unit per 3 acres if developed as planned. Ramsey Comprehensive Plan Page V-32