Agenda - Parks and Recreation Commission - 04/10/2014

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SECTION 2 WATER USE PROJECTIONS A. PURPOSE Water use projections form the basis of planning for future water infrastructure needs. Water demand projections are based on forecasts of residential, commercial and industrial water demands. Projections are first developed for population growth and changes in commercial and industrial development. Historical water use data is evaluated for average day and maximum day water use. Future water use projections are then developed based on growth forecasts and water use trends. B. SERVICE AREA Development in the City of Ramsey has been designated as either "rural" development or "urban" development. In the past, no water services were planned for the rural development areas. These areas include the Rural Preserve (north of the Trott Brook), the Central Rural Preserve (located in the center of Ramsey), and the Rural Developing area located between the current service boundary and the rural preserve areas. Under current planning guidelines, water service will be extended to existing and projected rural development in the Central Rural Pressure and Rural Developing areas. In addition, urban development is currently planned in areas south of the Trott Brook, but beyond the current service area boundary. In the near future, there are no plans to provide water service to the Rural Preserve area north of the Trott Brook. For planning purposes, the water service planning area has been based on providing service to all development areas of Ramsey south of the Trott Brook. Figure 2.1 shows the planned service area. C. SERVICE AREA POPULATION PROJECTIONS The population estimates in this report utilize state demographer data, City estimates and Metropolitan Council estimates. Key concepts utilized in developing service area population projections are as follows: City of Ramsey, Minnesota — M21.34343 Page 2-1 Water System Study Prepared by Bolton & Menk, Inc.