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Figure B-3. Overview of the Total Allocation <br />Existing <br />Housing <br />(67%) <br />33.5% <br />Growth <br />TotalAllocation <br />Job/Worker <br />Household <br />Balance <br />(33%) <br />Adjustments <br />Step 1: Make pre- <br />Step 2: Make adjustments that place <br />adjusted allocation <br />relatively more affordable housing whereit <br />proportionate to <br />can expand housing choice the most <br />forecasted growth <br />Step 1: Calculate pre-adjusted allocation proportionate to forecasted household net growth. <br />A community’s initial, “pre-adjusted” allocation is proportionate to its forecasted household <br />growth: the more households it is expected to add, the higher its allocation will be. Specifically, <br />8 <br />the pre-adjusted allocation is 33.5% of each community’s forecasted household net growth. <br />This percentage comes from dividing the regional Need (37,900) by the forecasted household <br />growth across all sewer-serviced areas (113,300). <br />For example, Golden Valley and West St. Paul both have forecasted net growth of 400 <br />households and thus a preliminary allocation of 134 housing units (33.5% of 500), as Table B-1 <br />shows. <br />8 <br />Source: Draft forecasts developed by Metropolitan Council Environmental Services with input from Council <br />Research staff, and supplemented by Council Research estimates of growth in municipal-serviced areas. In some <br />communities where the sewer network expands to cover existing households, these numbers produce higher net <br />household growth than the Thrive MSP 2040forecasts. In these cases, we used the Thrive MSP 2040 forecasts <br />to avoid conflating changes in household growth with changes in the sewer network. The regional forecast has <br />been updated since these local forecasts were made, resulting in lower projections of household growth between <br />2020 and 2030. As a temporary measure, we adjusted communities’ local forecasts downward to reconcile them <br />with the March 2015 update to the regional forecast, so the forecasts that appear here may not match forecasts <br />that appear in other Council publications. The final version of this amendment, to be adopted in summer 2015, will <br />reflect final local forecasts for system statements. <br />Page - 20|METROPOLITAN COUNCIL <br /> <br />