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! <br />! <br /> <br />At the present time most potential refunding issues could pass these two tests. However, <br />federal arbitrage regulations may pose a more formidable obstacle to large scale interest <br />savings, due to yield restrictions on those investments mode in the escrow account from <br />proceeds of the refunding bands. In general, those arbitrage regulations restrict the <br />reinvestment yield to the true interest cost on the refunding bonds, thus making it <br />difficult to save large interest amounts which might be assumed available when you <br />refund I1.00% bonds with 9.00% new bonds. However, there are some techniques which <br />can be used to increase investment yields, particularly if the issuer can finance some of <br />the front end costs. Those costs will vary, and are recoverable, over time.' <br /> <br />If you would like to discuss the refunding potential of some of your 1981-1982 issues, S-I <br />can perform a preliminary analysis of the refunding feasibility. There may be some other <br />justification for refunding in addition to interest savings. In some cases cities may want <br />to extend maturities on issues which were arbitrarily shortened because of market <br />conditions during the past 20, months.- In other cases, a refunding might eliminate onerous <br />covenants. <br /> <br />Tax Anticipation Certificates <br /> <br />As indicated a number of the State's larger school districts ore finding it necessary to <br />issue these certificates. Cities also have this authority, although charter cities may have <br />different authority than Statutory cities, and in some cases may have no such authority. <br />Statutory cities have the authority granted by MSA 412.261, which permits their sale at <br />any time after the first day of the year, in an amount not to exceed the total of all <br />uncollected taxes at the time of issuance. The certificates must be due and payable not <br />later than April I of the year following issuance. <br /> <br />Federal arbitrage regulations will further limit the total value of permitted certificates <br />to the largest combination of a single month's projected deficiency plus the next month's <br />projected expenditures. Since these certificates can currently be sold from 5.0% to 6.5%, <br />there can be a reinvestment gain. As a result there may be merit in their issuance even <br />though your projected monthly cash deficits can be managed by temporary transfer from <br />surplus funds. Should you wish to discuss the issuance of certificates in more detail we <br />have developed some computer models which aid in making the arbitrage calculations and <br />determining gain or loss from the sale, based on input from you on your cash flow <br />requirements. <br /> <br />Year in Retrospect <br /> <br />We think you will agree that 1982 was o year of uncertainty, and the precursor of great <br />change in government finance. It was a year of extraordinary volatility in credit markets, <br />and one in which a number of new debt financing techniques appeared or reappeared. <br />These new techniques included zero coupon and deep discount bonds, and while those <br />programming concepts have lost, at least temporarily, much of their initial attractive- <br />ness, it is clear that continuing variations of older, well established marketing concepts <br />will continue to be presented to issuers. <br /> <br />It is also clear that resources for the payment of both operating and capital costs will be <br />at a premium and difficult decisions will need to be made as to community priorities. It <br />will be a time of frustration, which will make it even more difficult to attract and retain <br />the highly qualified administration and policy making individuals we have tended to take <br />for granted in Minnesota. <br /> <br />The relationship between units of government will also change. We anticipate municipal <br />units will see a return to greater local control of finance and service levels, at the price <br />of great accountability. We think this change will be welcomed by most, though it may <br />require some traumatic adjustments. Based on our knowledge of Minnesota municipal <br />government we are confident you will make those adjustments. We pi.edge that during this <br />~.,..,.~.period of change we will do our utmost to continue to attract and retain the quality of <br />... staff necessary to assist in making your job easier when called upon. <br /> <br /> <br />