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ANOKA COUNTY HOUSING STUDY <br />CONCLUSIONS <br />TABLE E-2 <br />TOTAL EXCESS SENIOR HOUSING DEMAND <br />ANOKA COUNTY <br />2010 to 2020 <br />Total demand from Anoka County <br />Plus demand from outside Anoka County <br />Less existing units <br />Equals total excess demand <br />Total demand from Anoka County <br />Plus demand from outside Anoka County <br />Less existing units <br />Equals total excess demand <br />Total demand from Anoka County <br />Plus demand from outside Anoka County <br />Less existing units <br />Equals total excess demand <br />Numerical growth in excess demand <br />ACTIVE ADUL <br />Aff. MR <br />Rental Rental <br />444 <br />67 <br />(225) <br />286 <br />1,052 <br />158 <br />(997) <br />213 <br />MR <br />Owner <br />525 <br />79 <br />(235) <br />369 <br />SERVICE -ENHANCED <br />Assisted Memory <br />Cong. Living Care <br />745 <br />112 <br />(466) <br />391 <br />575 357 <br />86 54 <br />(413) (153) <br />248 258 <br />20 <br />380 <br />57 <br />(225) <br />212 <br />1,336 <br />200 <br />(997) <br />539 <br />667 <br />100 <br />(235) <br />532 <br />973 <br />146 <br />(466) <br />653 <br />649 414 <br />97 62 <br />(413) (153) <br />333 323 <br />2020 <br />584 <br />88 <br />(225) <br />446 <br />1,771 <br />266 <br />(997) <br />1,040 <br />900 <br />135 <br />(235) <br />800 <br />1,344 <br />202 <br />(466) <br />1,080 <br />Growth - 2010 to 2020 <br />854 542 <br />128 81 <br />(413) (153) <br />569 470 <br />160 827 431 689 321 213 <br />* Existing units are subtracted at market equilibrium -- 95% occupancy for active adult rental housing, 98% <br />occupancy for active adult owner housing, 95% occupancy for congregate housing, 93% occupancy for <br />assisted living housing, and 93% occupancy for memory care housing. In addition, only 80% of the assisted <br />living housing is considered competitive due to a portion of these units that are occupied by seniors utilizing <br />non -private payment sources (i.e. Elderly Waiver, CADI Waiver, etc.) <br />** 2015 and 2020 figures do not account for any proposed or planned senior housing projects. The impact of <br />proposed/planned developments are discussed by submarket in the study. <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH INC. 143 <br />