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10 <br /> <br />including issue areas defined by ACIR.* <br /> Another advocate of state financial oversight is Phil <br />Dearborn, vice president of the Greater Washington <br />(D.C.) Research Center. Dearborn told NCSL's Urban <br />Development Committee that when local governments <br />face fiscal problems, they may resort to "gimmicks," <br /> <br />"The state impact on city finances and <br /> programs is pervasive, it includes <br /> control over boundaries and <br /> annexation; transporation systems; <br /> establishment of areawide service <br /> districts; criminal justice; delivery of <br /> social services; local government <br /> fiscal systems, and much more." <br /> <br />otherwise known as "creative accounting," to balance <br />their budgets, including deferred spending and short-term <br />borrowing through tax revenue anticipation notes. <br /> The "single most important factor" triggering a local <br />government fiscal crisis, said Dearborn, is a sharp jump in <br />short-teim borrowing. When these loans can't be "rolled <br />over," then fiscal collapse may follow, he said. <br /> In addition, states should establish a mechanism to deal <br />with local government fiscal emergencies, rather than <br />allow state aid to be "personalized" by local and state of- <br />ficials after it happens, Dearborn said. <br /> Ohio, for example, has established the state Financial <br />Planing ahci..Su.-p~r, vision C'o-mmission to o~,-~rsee the" <br />fiscal recovery of 12i~3-3'l'h-n~IT-lvl~y6-f-G~7 <br />Voinovich's recovery plan includes increased city income <br />taxes, employee cutbacks, higher electric and water rates, <br />and modest labor cost increases. <br /> Peterson is another who sees the states, over the next few <br />years, responding mainly to "critical financial situations" <br />where the state assumes program responsibilities from the <br />locality. The MFOA's Petersen agrees saying the states will <br />have to "throw a shoulder in and try and help some local <br />government out of a ditch." <br /> Peterson sees a more desirable state role in the <br />"reassignment of expenditure responsibilities" for local <br />government programs, rather than increased direct aid. <br />"I'd almost write off the possibility of large amounts of <br />new state funding for the cities," he said. He pointed out <br />that states, and some counties, are continuing to take over <br />responsibility for costs which are geographically concen- <br />trated because of the population distribution--through no <br />fault of city management. <br /> One change in responsibility, particularly at the local <br />level, may be the shift to "independent or quasi- <br /> <br />independent authorities," said Peterson. This makes it <br />easier for city administrators to rely on a revenue base <br />generated by the pricing of specific government services, <br />particularly where capital investment is involved, he said. <br />This development was seconded by the MFOA's Petersen, <br />who said that these enterprise functions are now "really the <br />growth area" of city government. <br /> Another, more general aspect of state aid to localities <br />which bothers Peterson of The Urban Institute is the "in- <br />dexation" of program funding. He sees this as "one of the <br />conflicts.., on the horizon," particularly for states under <br />fiscal duress. <br /> <br /> The Future of State Aid <br /> The degree to which state aid can offset federal <br />assistance cuts depends, of course, on the unique cir- <br />cumstances of each state and its distressed communities. <br />The general consensus, however, is that the states in the <br />Midwest and the Northeast find it difficult to maintain, let <br />alone expand, assistance efforts. <br /> The recent efforts by states to help localities, though, of-' <br />fers some hope that the states will stand by the cities in this <br />recession since federal aid prospects appear dim. "States <br />are under the same fiscal scourge as cities," say Petersen of <br />the MFOA. "My instinct is that although a lot of lip service <br />was given three or four years ago to really bucking up and <br />doing a lot for the cities.., that the states probably have <br />less moral fervor to do that now--and fewer resources <br />because they themselves are coming under all kinds of con- <br />straints.'' <br /> The states, like the cities and the federal government, are <br />under "pretty much the same political pressure, and <br />there's just no political pluses in now raising taxes at all," <br />Peterson said. <br /> An NCSL analysis of the Administration's revised 1981 <br />budget found that 75 percent of the proposed total reduc- <br />tions to state and local governments would be cuts in aid <br />specifically to state governments. It seems likely that these <br /> <br />John Peler~n Roberl Gordon <br /> <br /> <br />