04. Assumptions & Projections - Laserfiche WebLink

Home

2001 Comprehensive Plan Amended February 26, 2002 The future growth of Ramsey depends on several factors. It depends on the recent charter amendments, which limit the ability of expanding MUSA, particularly for residential development and the ability to manage congestion levels on Highways 10 and 47 at safe and operable levels. It depends on regional and local pressures and cooperation on deciding whether to build another bridge over the Mississippi River. It also depends on the ability of the community to diversify its employment base by attracting business other than manufacturing. These are only a few factors that impact future growth, all of which are interrelated. In order to plan for growth in the Twin Cities Metropolitan region, the Metropolitan Council has prepared population, household and employment projections for metropolitan cities. These projections are based primarily on the availability of developable land in each community~. The Metropolitan Council recognizes that Ramsey may not be able to accommodate the growth projections due to the lack of unrestricted developable land in the community and the high level of public opposition to urban residential development. These projections are not requirements imposed on the community; rather they are projections that provide a framework or base to plan. One purpose of the State Legislature that requires metro communities to submit comprehensive plans to the Metropolitan Council is to allow local governments the opportunity to determine how their community will grow and to tell the Metropolitan Council what regional infrastructure needs will result from the chosen growth plan. After reviewing Ramsey's plan, the Metropolitan Council must evaluate how that plan fits into the regional plan and how regional infrastructure needs are to be met. Table IV-1 outlines the Metropolitan Council projections for the City of Ramsey and provides a comparison of the City's own growth projections based on growth trends and available land supply for development. The City projections are based on projections completed while analyzing the future growth according to Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ) and according to the development staging plan as shown in Chapter V. "Staging of Development". Table IV-1 Metropolitan Council and City of Ramsey Projections Population Household Employment Year Metro Metro Metro Council City Council City Council City 1990 2000 2010 2020 12,408 12,408 19,400 19,630 24,700 25,050 30,900 32,250 3,620 3,620 5,900 5,950 7,800 8,350 10,000 10,750 1,941 1,941 2,500 2,500 4,000 7,000 4,700 9,000 Source: Metropolitan Council Local Planning Handbook. 1990 US Census. Hoisington Koegler Group The primary concern regarding growth at the regional level is that land within the Metropolitan area is used efficiently and wisely from the standpoint of maximizing the effective use of regional infrastructure and by making environmentally conscious land use decisions. The ability for growth to occur in the City of Ramsey heavily depends on the regional investment made to the transportation infrastructure that connects Ramsey with the Metropolitan Area. These improvements are not limited to highway improvements, but also investments in transit (the ability to reduce vehicle trips) and economic development (the ability to get jobs closer to homes.) ~ Land Use information was assembled by Metro Council Staff using aerial photography, assessing data and input from local City Staff. 2001 Ramsey Comprehensive Plan Amended February 26, 2002 Page 117-2