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and end sources of funds (rent paid by the business) would meet typical market returns <br />to attract private equity financing. <br />Summary of Analysis <br />For purposes of this analysis, we assumed the project receives the full 9 years of tax <br />increment totaling an estimated $972,000. Based on the anticipated development costs <br />and potential rental income, the projected cash -on -cost return on investment to a potential <br />developer would be 8.1% without TIF assistance and 8.42% with TIF assistance. Cash - <br />on -cost return is simply the annual income from the property divided by the total <br />development cost. Industrial developers typically need a cash -on -cost return of between <br />7% and 9% to attract private financing. With the requested TIF assistance, the projected <br />returns are still within this range. <br />Recommendations <br />Based on our review of the project and market trends, we conclude that the proposed <br />development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private <br />investment within the reasonably foreseeable future. Therefore, if the City chooses to <br />provide assistance, Ehlers concludes it will help facilitate the project and not unduly enrich <br />the company. <br />TIF assistance could be provided on a "pay-as-you-go" basis in an amount up to <br />$972,000. With "pay-as-you-go" TIF assistance, the City does not provide any funding <br />up -front. Instead, the City enters into an agreement to provide tax increment payments <br />that are generated solely from the project's actual increased property taxes for up to nine <br />years. The applicant uses those future tax increment payments to obtain additional debt <br />and/or support returns on investment. If the tax increment is insufficient to pay the <br />$972,000 TIF note in nine years, the City does not make up the shortfall. <br />Please contact me at 651-697-8512 with any questions. <br />BUII.DIN(. CC)IM'aMUNITDEE. IIT"5 WHAT WE DO. inIfo,Lehler„-inc,com <br />1 (8OO) 552-1171 www.e.hler unc,corn <br />