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Agenda - Council - 08/27/2019
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Agenda - Council - 08/27/2019
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Council
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08/27/2019
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RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS <br />has returned while development has waned in part due to statutory laws. Due to the stat- <br />utory home warranty changes initiated in 2010; builders and developers focused on less <br />adverse real estate types due to regulatory effects. In addition to pre -sale requirements <br />and owner -occupied minimums by lenders, condominium developers and contractors <br />faced a wave of litigation over the past decade related to condo projects that were built <br />prior to the recession, which deterred building. <br />However, in 2017 the State Legislature revised the state law and requires homeowner's as- <br />sociation to implement a preventative maintenance plan, go through mediation, and have <br />the majority of the home owner's association members to vote on whether they will pro- <br />ceed with a construction defect lawsuit. Although the law has been revised, developers <br />are still skittish about constructing new condominiums; unless in high -dollar markets such <br />as Wayzata, Edina, or Downtown Minneapolis. We find the COR neighborhood would be <br />excellent for condo product; but its still too premature as too many developers are on the <br />sidelines and pursuing rental housing due in part to favorable financing. <br />General Occupancy Rental Housing <br />Our competitive inventory identified that the vacancy rates for all types of general occupancy <br />rental product is below market equilibrium (2.9% vacancy rate) indicating pent-up demand for <br />rental housing. Vacancy rates are low for both affordable rental housing (2.0%) and market <br />rate housing (3.1%). The rental housing stock is newer as most product has been constructed in <br />the past five years in and near the COR neighborhood. As Table P-1 illustrated, there are three <br />pending projects that could bring another 500 units on-line should they all move forward. Sim- <br />ilar across the Metro Area, market rate rental housing is the real estate product type experienc- <br />ing the strongest demand and lenders favor this product type given the historic performance. <br />However, the Metro Area is peaking and the overall market is expected to experience increased <br />vacancies as over 8,000 units are finished in 2019. Should all the units proceed simultaneously <br />in Ramsey, the rental market will likely experience some softening in rents and concessions <br />could ensue as new units are absorbed. <br />• Market Rate Rental — Demand for market rate housing was found for over 440 units <br />through 2030. Currently, vacancies rates are below equilibrium suggesting the market has <br />pent-up demand for new rental product. However, the two proposed projects would in- <br />clude a total of 438 units that would accommodate the recommended rental housing de- <br />mand over the next decade if they were to proceed. <br />We recommend new market rate housing targeting both middle -market and upper -bracket <br />renters. In addition, we recommend a townhome style product that would have separate <br />entrances; a product type that is popular among a wide -range of target demographics (i.e. <br />families, couples, single parents, etc.) <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH AND CONSULTING 147 <br />
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