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2018 CAFR
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NOTE 8 — DEFINED BENEFIT PENSION PLANS — STATE-WIDE (CONTINUED) <br />E. Actuarial Assumptions <br />The total pension liability in the June 30, 2018, actuarial valuation was deteiniined using an individual <br />entry -age noinial actuarial cost method and the following actuarial assumptions: <br />Inflation 2.50% per year <br />Active Member Payroll Growth 3.25% per year <br />Investment Rate of Return 7.50% <br />Salary increases were based on a service -related table. Mortality rates for active members, retirees, <br />survivors and disabilitants for all plans were based on RP-2014 tables for males or females, as <br />appropriate, with slight adjustments to fit PERA's experience. Cost of living benefit increases after <br />retirement for retirees are assumed to be 1.25 percent per year for GERF and 1 percent per year for <br />PEPFF. <br />Actuarial assumptions used in the June 30, 2018, valuation were based on the results of actuarial <br />experience studies. The most recent six -year experience study in the GERF was completed in 2015. <br />The most recent four-year experience study for PEPFF was completed in 2016. Economic assumptions <br />were updated in 2017 based on a review of inflations and investment return assumptions. <br />The following changes in actuarial assumptions occurred in 2018: <br />1. GERF: <br />• The mortality projection scale was changed from MP-2015 to MP-2017. <br />• The assumed post -retirement benefit increase was changed from 1.0 percent per year through <br />2044 and 2.5 percent per year thereafter, to 1.25 percent per year. <br />2. PEPFF: <br />• The mortality projection scale was changed from MP-2016 to MP-2017. <br />• As set by statute, the assumed post -retirement benefit increase was changed from 1.0 percent <br />per year through 2064 and 2.5 percent per year thereafter, to 1.0 percent for all years, with no <br />trigger. <br />The State Board of Investment, which manages the investments of PERA, prepares an analysis of the <br />reasonableness on a regular basis of the long-teiiii expected rate of return using a building-block method in <br />which best -estimate ranges of expected future rates of return are developed for each major asset class. <br />These ranges are combined to produce an expected long-teiiii rate of return by weighting the expected <br />future rates of return by the target asset allocation percentages. The target allocation and best estimates of <br />geometric real rates of return for each major asset class are summarized in the following table: <br />Long -Term Expected Real Rate <br />Asset Class Target Allocation of Return <br />Domestic Stocks 36% 5.10% <br />International Stocks 17% 5.30% <br />Bonds 20% 0.75% <br />Alternative Assets 25% 5.90% <br />Cash 2% 0.00% <br />Total 100% <br />84 <br />
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