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<br />URBAN DEVELOPMENT <br /> <br />populatio,p. <br /> <br />The MetropQlitan Council's 19c86 population estimate as reported by the <br />stat~ planning Ag~cy ~e<Jllographerestimq.tes RalRsey' s populatiQn at <br />11,395 comprising ~,102 households.* ~he Metropolitan Council esti- <br />mated thq.t the number of householqs in the City increased by 132 <br />dlfring 1987 with a total estimated 3,234 households** and an estimated <br />population of 11,706. However, in 1987, 194 new residential building <br />permits were issued. Based on actual figures through september, an <br />estimated 190 permits will also be issued in 1.988. ThUS, even the <br />most curre~t Mcpopulation estimates. ~re considered to be extremely <br />conservative. while. the. City has not undertaken a special census, on <br />the basis of the number of building permits issued and known vacant <br />houses, it is believed that the City's current (12/88) population <br />exceeds 12,000. This compares to MC's "official" population estimate <br />of 12,600 for the year 2000. <br /> <br />Residential <br /> <br />The City has experienced steady growth in the 1980's with accelerated <br />growth in real numbers of new households over the last two years. <br />Figure ~ illustrates the number of building permits issued over the <br />past eight years. As shown, urban service areas have only been avail- <br />able the last four years with all prior development activity in non- <br />sewered areas. <br /> <br />Sewer and water systems were constructed in 1985 with an initial 22 <br />. homes constructed in the sewered areas. The number of homes built in <br />the urban area nearly doubled in 1986 and again in 1987. In 1988, the <br />total number of permits issued was approximately the same as in 1987 <br />indicating a leveling off of housing activity paralleling other <br />trends. The "number of permits issued"fo~ urban area development, <br />however, was essentially the same as in 1987. Discussions with con- <br />tractors and developers in the city brought forth the concern that the <br />flattening of growth in the urban area was due primarily to the <br />limited supply of quality lots remaining in the urban service area. <br />It is estimated that fewer than 90 urban lots are currently available <br />in the entire city. <br /> <br />Nevertheless, the number of permits issued indicate that the <br />current balance is that approximately 55% of the lots developed <br />are in the non-sewered area and 45% are in the urban area. The <br />City desires to be able to achieve this kind of balance and <br />continues to desire a greater emphasis on development within the <br />urban area. <br /> <br />*"population Notes", Minnesota state Demographer, November, 1987; <br />Minnesota state planning Agency. <br /> <br />**"Minnesota population and Household Estimates - 1987" Office of <br />state Demographer, Mn/state Planning Agency, August, 1988. <br /> <br />LJ <br />
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