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<br />In o*der to achieve a balance, an adequate supply of residential <br />land must be available within the MUSA area. By assuring an <br />adequate supply, the City can achieve multiple goals consistent <br />~ith MC's policies. They are: <br /> <br />Prov~de ~ v~riety of hOl,1sing opportunities within the <br />community in terms of development patterns, land use, and living <br />sty).es. <br /> <br />Encourage growth within the urban area by providing quality <br />dev~J.QPmentopportunities. At the same time, development <br />pressures within the rural area may be reduced. <br /> <br />Enhaflce t.he Cit.y'seconomy by provid.ing a growth oriented <br />environment which encourages de~elopment in an orderly manner. <br /> <br />capture some of the urban development activity occurring in <br />communities outside of the seven county area due to the leap- <br />frogging caused by restricted development opportunities on the <br />fringe of the Metropolitan Region. . <br /> <br />While 140 acres are zoned residential within the MUSA and are <br />currently undeveloped, discussions with landowners indicate that the <br />majority have no interest in developing this land in the near future. <br />with less than a one year supply of urban lots, it becomes imperative <br />for the city to encourage additional development. Expansion of the <br />MUSA area would bring additional land into development by willing <br />landowners. It also would help to keep the price of urban lots lower <br />by increasing supply thereby helping to achieve both city and Regional <br />goals of affordable housing. <br /> <br />Figure 3 illustrates those areas in the city for which preliminary <br />plats have been submitted and are proposed to be included within the <br />. 2000 MUSA .area. The plats .are in various stages of the review pro- <br />cess. Only one, Windemere Woods, with 51 lots, is in the 1990 MUSA <br />area. All are proposed to be developed at urban densities and com- <br />prise a total of 342 lots. Collective and individual discussions with <br />the developers indicate that each of the developers expect a three to <br />five year time frame for full development of the plats. If current <br />trends continue with approximately 200 building permits issued each <br />year, of which 43% are in the urban area, the proposed plats represent <br />approximately a four year supply of urban lots. If the City is suc- <br />cessful in encouraging more development within the urban area, this <br />supply could represent less than a four year supply. <br /> <br />The five year historical average number of new residential building <br />permits issued is 135 permits per year. In the last two years, 44% of <br />the permits issued have been for homes in the urban area. If it is <br />assumed that housing starts will decline somewhat over the next 12 <br />years (due to economic cycles, cost of homes, interest, etc.) to 75% <br />of the five year average, 100 permits a years would be issued. If the <br />city is successful in encouraging development in the urban area rather <br />than rural areas, 75% of the new homes will be developed in the urban <br />area. At 3.5 units per net developable acre, 22 acres per year would <br />be absorbed by residential development. Over the next twelve years <br />
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