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5.0 AIRPORT ACTIVITY FORECASTS <br />5.1 Historical Activity <br />Statistics on aircraft operations and based aircraft at <br />small general aviation airports are generally unavailable or <br />very limited. Statistics at privately owned airports are <br />exceedingly limited. MN/DOT Division of Aeronautics, <br />however, has prepared Federal Aviation Administration's <br />5010-1 master records for recent years estimating the number <br />of operations and based aircraft as well as providing faci- <br />lity information at Gateway. <br />Table 5-1 outlines historic based aircraft and operations <br />characteristics for 1979 through 1982. No data is available <br />for 1983. It is, however, significant that over 30 aircraft <br />were based at the field within recent years including a <br />light twin engine aircraft. As of mid-1984, the number of <br />based aircraft as determined by the FBO was 12.* As is <br />readily apparent, a significant drop has occurred in the <br />numbers of based aircraft and operations. Primary factors <br />which this may be attributed to are: <br />(1) A general decline, nationwide, in general aviation <br />activity during this time period reflecting economic <br />conditions, <br />(2) condition and limited useability of the physical faci- <br />lities in various weather conditions, <br />(3) availability of service and aircraft storage hangars <br />for users. <br />Historic operations are estimated and appear to be somewhat <br />on the high side compared to other general aviation airports <br />with similar numbers of based aircraft. Itinerant opera- <br />tions (flights to or from another airport as opposed to <br />local training or proficiency flights) appear to be somewhat <br />underestimated. Itinerant operations for 1979 are estimated <br />at approximately 6% of total operations increasing to <br />approximately 11% of total operations in 1982. <br />s <br />*Unconfirmed responses to the aircraft usage survey reported 16 air- <br />craft based or about to be based. <br />5-1 <br />