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Deceraber, 2001 Draft <br /> <br />4. Staging of Development--MUSA Expansion <br /> <br />Within the 2000 MUSA there are approximately 280 acres of vacant developable' <br />land zoned residential under the exisling zoning map (although a good portion of <br />this is within shoreland management areas and approximately 35 acres includes <br />already pierced single family lots). Since 1992, residential land within MUSA <br />has been consumed at 65 to 75 acres per year on average¢. Given current trends <br />and densities, available residential land within MUSA would be depleted by 2003 <br />or sooner and would accommodate less than 1,000 total units or an absorption <br />rate of' roughly 250 units per year~°. This would likely lead to a demand for <br />M'USA expa~nsion to meet residential needs by the year 2000. <br /> <br />The furore [and use plan conve~' some land within the MUSA previously guided <br />for commercial/industrial development to residential. It aJso increases the <br />density of development within urban areas and encourages more multi-family <br />housing to accommodate life-cycle-housing and affordable housing goals. The <br />future land use plan conta/ns 4.32 acres of developable residential land (including <br />vacant plax-ted lots) within the current 2000 MUSA, 60 acres of which are <br />designated for medium to high density housing. Given the densities proposed in <br />the future land use plan, roughly 2,240 units could be accommodated on this <br />land.TM However, typical development patterns will likely not attain this level due <br />to the desire to provide a transition between e,'dsting residential development and <br />future urban development. <br /> <br />a) Future urban residential land demand <br />As part of the examination of furore land use needs, an analysis of the <br />existing land use supply is necessary. Table V-I provides a general <br />overview of existing land use and Appendix B provides a greater <br />breakdown of existing [and use per Metropolitan Council requirements. <br />The Metropolitan Council proje .ets that Rmnsey will add approx/ma~ely <br />5,200 households bet:ween the years 1995 and 2020 or just over 200 <br />households per year. The future land use plan con_fines urban residential <br />growth to within the MUSA expansion area along Highway 10. <br /> <br />~ This figure is based on the number of urban permits issued in a single year from [992 to 1997 divided by <br />a mm/mum density of 2.5 tm/ts per acre for the lower I/mit of consumption and a maximum density of 3 <br />umt~ per acre for the upper linfit of consumption. The densities were determined by using the Anoka <br />County GI$ base, map data to determine average units per acre for various developments. <br />;o Tttis figure depends on the density of development that the developer decides would be the most <br /> <br />marketable for the product proposed to be built. The current zoning code calls out a maximum density of 4 <br />units per gross acre for single family in the R-1U district, which contmns the bulk of vacant residential <br />land However, the zoning code requires a m/nimum lot size of 10,800 square feet for single-family units <br />in R-tU diSmcts, which poses a hamer to obtaining an actual density of 4 umts per acre. Existing <br />residential housing is consistently developed at densities of 3 to 3.5 traits per net acre, which equates <br />roughly to 3 umts per gross acre. <br />ti Total rots were based on densities of 15 units per net acre for urban high density, 7 units per acre for <br /> <br />medium density, 4 units per net acre for [ow density, residential. <br /> <br />-312- Ramsey Comprehensive PIan--£and Use Chapter Page V*30' <br /> <br /> <br />