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4. ASSUMPTIONS AND PROJECTIONS <br />City of Ramsey 2030 Comprehensive Plan <br />Chapter 4: Assumptions <br />The following is a list of assumptions that were considered when projecting future population, <br />household and employment figures for Ramsey. <br />1. Due to its location at the edge of the region, the automobile will continue to be the <br />primary means of transit for Ramsey residents. <br />2. Travel demand by personal automobile will continue to grow faster than Ramsey's <br />population unless there is a significant increase in the cost of gasoline. Traffic volumes <br />will continue to grow no matter how fast or how much the City of Ramsey grows or <br />regardless of whether a new bridge over the Mississippi River is built. <br />3. Due to the nature of soils in the City (the Anoka sandplain) rural residential development <br />can be supported indefinitely with on -site sewage treatment systems, provided sufficient <br />land is available to accommodate two drain fields. Ultimately, such areas may require <br />public water service. <br />4. The expansion of the schools that serve Ramsey students will be necessary whether or not <br />urban growth occurs in Ramsey in any significant amount. <br />5. The public sanitary sewer and water systems have ample capacity and /or expansion <br />capability to accommodate all of the urban development possible in Ramsey. <br />6. The Metropolitan Council may not support the expansion of rural residential development <br />at densities of less than one unit per l0 -acres unless a meaningful system of rural open <br />spaces and more urban housing at higher densities result. More urban density housing <br />will require MUSA expansion. <br />7. The Metropolitan Council will not compel the City to expand MUSA into rural residential <br />areas where substantial subdivision has already occurred that is not conducive to <br />resubdivision. <br />8. Northwest Ramsey will not be allowed to connect to Elk River's public utility systems. <br />9. Metropolitan sewers will not be extended northerly through Ramsey to provide services to <br />City of Nowthen. <br />10. Urban growth will generally occur in a westerly direction along Highway 10 if MUSA <br />expansion is authorized. <br />11. Ramsey's persons per household figure currently estimated at 3.1 persons per household <br />in 2000 will likely decline to 3 persons per household or less by 2010. By 2030, the <br />household figure is expected to decline to 2.67 persons per household. <br />City of Ramsey 2030 Comprehensive Plan Update Page 4 -1 <br />