Ramsey Twp Comp Plan July 73 - Laserfiche WebLink

Home

applied the fertility ratio and specific death rates for each age group and each sex to the 1970 data for Ramsey. A ratio of the number of children under 5 years of age to the number of women between 15 and 44 determines the fertility ratio and the specific death rate as used herein compared the same groups of individua.ls in 1960 and 1970 to determine survival ratios. The resulting projection shows an increase from 2500 people in 1970 to 5900 in 1980 and 27,300 people by 2000. Because this projection is a mathematical extension of the 1960 'and 1970 trend it is likely to be altered by a variety of factors. The biggest influence ~s likely to be the general economy, but other factors could include legislative decisions of the Township Board in the area of development restrictions. In the recent past, Ramsey has required very little in terms of development improvements but requiring larger lots in certain areas and black top for streets could probably slow the furious pace of construction since 1970. However, the statistics clearly show that Ramsey is no longer a rural .township and two current estimates of population suggest that the community has already surpassed the mathematical projection for 1980. The township building permit records indicate that more than 1000 new residential structures have been built since 1970. Using an admittedly low estimgte of 3 persons per household, the existing population in Ramsey can be assumed to have reached a total of 5670 persons. The last table includes the Metropolitan Gouncit population by 300 people with more 'than six years remaining. It would appear that localized reasons for a building slow down within Ramsey could eliminate much of the recent development force. But, unless there is a major setback for the national economy, the mathematical projection is likely to be conservative, at least through the year 1990. The decade beyond is much more speculative as it depends in large measure on national and local conditions twenty years out of date. The Land Use Plan, however, will use these figures as a guide, recognizing that the Planning Gommission is likely to respond to contemporary conditions making adjustments in the long range plan as necessary. I I I I I I I I I I I I I