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12 <br /> <br />proposed cuts will mean some reduction in state aid to <br />localities, at least for the fiscally distressed states. <br /> ,Mthough major initiatives involving direct aid appear <br />unlikely now, there are numerous--almost increment- <br />al--ways in which states can respond to the problems of <br />localities. As the ACIR report points out, these fall roughly <br />into three major areas: structural innovations, fiscal <br />changes and functional program shifts. <br /> In virtually every state, however, there remain tradi- <br />tional forces--legal, political and institutional--which <br />work against an expanded state role in helping the cities <br /> <br />"Intensified political competition <br /> between local, state and federal <br /> governments for available resources <br /> will be an important factor in the <br /> eighties." <br /> <br />and distressed communities. "There is . . . bound to <br />be--even in the most benign of situtations--an inevitable <br />adversary role between cities and states," said Robert E. <br />Gordon, administrator of the National Center for <br />Municipal Development in Washington, D.C. <br /> "That's built in," he said, "and it's built in simply <br />because urban areas have a set of interest which are <br />somewhat different" from those of rural areas, smaller <br />towns and suburbs. Yet, many rural legislators share some <br />common ground with lawmakers from the big cities when <br />the problems of older, small and medium-sized towns and <br />cities are taken into account. <br /> Finally, the position of the cities in the political <br />constellation of state politics in the 1980's will be <br />determined by upcoming legislative redistricting (and the <br />same will be true at the congressional level with <br />reapportionment). Cities which have experienced a <br />population decline will probably also witness a drop in <br />political power at the statehouse. In addition, federal aid <br />flows contingent on formulas which include population <br />could also decrease. <br /> Although state programs which are automatically pro- <br />tected against inflation through cost-of-living escalators <br />fare reasonably well, this is not the case with aid to <br />localities, he said. Such assistance is generally not adjusted <br />for inflation and is subject to discretionary spending deci- <br />sions, Peterson said. "So, state aid to local governments is <br />a logical candidate for bearing a large share of any reduc- <br />tion.., made at the state level," he added. <br /> <br /> Guideposts to the '80s <br /> In sum, the responses of the states and the cities during <br />the next few years will surely provide the guideposts to <br />government in the 1980's. "The thing is that we have 50 dif- <br />ferent state and local systems," Myers said, "and that <br /> <br />diversity would imply that there are probably a lot of dif <br />ferent solutions that are going to be worked out." <br /> Says Princeton's Nathan, a former Brookings Institu <br />tion scholar, "The states are increasingly going to be <br />governments that are going'to become more and more im. <br />portant in terms of meeting urban needs, especially on th~ <br />part of distressed communities." <br /> If the cities and other interest groups, both Public anC <br />private, who are concerned with urban problems, turn <br />their attention from Washington to their state capitols, <br />only then will the rhetoric of calls for less federal <br />dominance be answered. <br /> "The great political activity in the next 10 years," U.S. <br />Senator Nancy Kassebaum (Kan.) told NCSL's State- <br />Federal Assembly, "is going to be at the state level." She <br />said state legislatures will need "innovative, creative <br />leadership to take the lead. If something is worth doing, <br />then it's worth fighting for in the legislatures, the county <br />commissions and the city councils," Kassebaum said. <br /> Given the widespread agreement that federal aid will <br />likely decline, the question before the states is whether, <br />despite their constraints, they can assume more respon- <br />sibility for the hard-pressed cities and other distressed <br />localities. Only innovative, vigorous state action on urban <br />problems will convince those still skeptical of the states on <br />this score. <br /> <br /> Referents <br /> 1. "Bypasing the States: Wrong Turn for Urban Aid," Center for Policy Research, <br /> National Governors' Association, Washington, D.C., 1979 <br />2. "Pass-through Federal /kid and Interlevel Finance in the American Federal <br /> System 1957-1977," G. Ross Stephens and Gerald W. Olson, University of <br /> .Missouri (Kansas City), 1979. <br />3. "The States and Distressed Communities: Indicators of Significant Actions," <br /> Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations and National Academy <br /> of Public Administration, Washington, D.C., 1979. <br />4. "Uixtate: States and Urban Development--Part l (Part [[)," Nadonal Council <br /> for Urban Economic Development Information Service, No. 10 and 11, May <br /> 19T7 and August 1977. <br />5. "If You Want the Federal Dollars, You Have to Accept Federal Controlz," <br /> RocheLle L. Sta.ndfield. ,VationalJournal, January 19, 1980. pp. 105-109. <br />,6. ".Experts Expect Financial Problems to Spread to Wide Range of Cities, John <br /> Herbers, TheNew York 77mes, March 30, 1980. <br />7. "The Urban Policy Puz. zle," Carol Steinbach, State Legislatures, May/June <br /> 1978, pp. 8-11. <br />8. "State Community Assistance Initiatives: InnovaL~ons of the Late 70s," Ad- <br /> visory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, Washington. D.C,, 1979. <br />9. "Significant Features of Fkscal Federalism. 193'B-79." Advisor7 Commission on <br /> Intergovernmental Relations, Washington, D.C., 1979. <br />10. "America's Distressed Cities: Are They Really Bouncing Back?" Carol Stein- <br /> bach, State Legkslatures. Nov./Dec. 1978. pp. 11-13. <br />11. Slate Roles in Local Go vernment Financial ,Vlanagement. John E. Petersen, C. <br /> Wayne Stallings, Catherine LavJgne Spain, Government Finance Research <br /> Center, Washington, D.C., 1979. <br />12. Watching and Counting: A Suraey of&ate Assistance to and Superv~vton of <br /> Local Government Debt and Financial Admimstration, National Conference o£ <br /> State Legmhatures and Municipal Finance Officers. <br /> <br />For further information about federal grants-in-aid <br />programs to the cities, contact Susanne Hiegel, staff <br />director of the Urban Development Committee at the <br />NCSL Washington office, 202/624-5418. <br /> <br />Dan Pilcher is associate editor of State Legislatures. <br /> <br /> <br />