Comp Plan 1981-1983 FILE #3 - Laserfiche WebLink

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-4- The Ramsey plan uses population and household forecasts which are greater than those of the Metropolitan Council. The household forecasts are 200 per year in the 1980s versus the Council's 130. They averaged about 200 per year in the 1970s, but with the largest share occurring before 1975. In 1979, 1980 and 1981 they have issued only 214 permits. Council household forecasts for 1980 were only about t00 low while population forecasts were even closer. The two forecasts provide a reasonable range of household growth possibilities for Ramsey. The Ramsey plan's population forecasts are closer to the Council's because they use a lower, more realistic household size assumption. The plan also divides the households between sewered and unsewered areas. Although most of the projected growth is in the sewered area, the plan forecasts approximately 50 units per year in the unsewered area, while the Council assumed all but 10 to 20 houses per year would be sewered. The impact on regional systems of the higher forecasts of the plan would therefore not be much different from Council forecasts. This is reinforced by the plan's use of a lower household size, resulting in only a net difference of less than 600 people between the Council population growth forecasts and the plan's sewered area population forecasts for 1980. Employment forecasts are not contained in the plan, but recent trends indicate Council forecasts are significantly high. This would further reduce any system impacts from household population forecasts which are too high. Land Use The 1981 comprehensive plan, as revised by the city during the course of this review, includes two general planning areas as shown in Attachment II. The first area is the urban planning area, a portion of which is included in the 1990 Urban Service Area. The city anticipates that the entire urban planning area will ultimately have urban services. The second planning area is the Rural Service Area. This second area is not scheduled to receive urban services in the near future. The plan proposes residential development within the 1990 Urban Service Area on 10,800 square-foot lots with sewer, and on one- acre lots without sewer (which can be resubdivided as sewer becomes available). In addition, areas are designated for higher density multiple family residential within the 1990 Urban Service Area. Outside of the 1990 Urban Service Area residential development is limited to a maximum density of one unit per 10 acres with a 2.5-acre minimum lot size. Attachment II shows the 1990 plan (zoning map) with the 1990 Urban Serice Area super- imposed. Those areas shown as urban zoning districts outside of the 1990 sewered area are also limited to a one per ten-acre maximum density until sewer becomes available. The plan also proposes three commercial and two industrial districts. The plan is based on two sewer interceptor connections to the metropolitan sewer system. One connection has already been