Agenda - Environmental Policy Board - 10/15/2018

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Accordingly, this traffic analysis assumes that a rail station is active on the site in the future and that 450 riders per day would use the Ramsey stop. Traffic Analysis Report Summary A detailed Traffic Analysis has been prepared to fully investigate the effects of the proposed project on the local and regional roadway systems. This report has been included in its entirety in Appendix B. Two sets of future conditions, Future Base and Future with Project, were analyzed. The Future Base represents growth in traffic from non -project sources at the year of project buildout, which was assumed to be the year 2007. A growth factor was used to account for the regional growth in traffic in the area irrespective of the proposed development. This growth factor was calculated to be two percent per year on the basis of forecasts for 2025 from the Metropolitan Council. This level of growth is consistent with the volume projections in the TH 10 IRC Study.8 The Future Base also includes the effects of other approved development projects in the vicinity of the project site that anticipate being constructed and occupied within the 2007 time line. The following two projects were identified as having a qualifying development time line: • The Rivenwick 3rd Subdivision residential development, which is located south of TH 10 at Ramsey Boulevard, would have 112 townhouses and would add a fourth leg to the intersection of Ramsey Boulevard and TH 10. • The Bright Keys residential development, located across Industry Boulevard from the project site near Ramsey Boulevard, would have 284 townhouse units. Traffic for the Rivenwick 3rd Subdivision, as reported in that project's traffic study9, was added into the Future Base. Traffic for the Bright Keys development was generated using standard trip generation rates and assigned to the study area street system using the data developed for the project traffic forecasts (see below). The Future with Project conditions were developed by adding the project trip generation to the Future Base volumes. Trip generation for the proposed development was estimated using the rates from the 6th edition of the Institute of Transportation Engineers' (ITE) Trip Generation Manual. Some trips generated by a mixed -use development of the project type will move between uses within the development site and not reach intersections external to the site and should be excluded from traffic assignment at those locations. This internal trip making is attributed to the interaction between various land uses in a development. Additionally, some trips will take alternate forms of transport, which can be bicycling, walking, and use of transit. The presence of sidewalks, street network density and proximity to transit facilities affect the amount Ridership estimate is from the supplemental analysis commissioned by the City of Ramsey and presented to the Northstar Corridor Development Authority in support of a Ramsey station (HKGI/SRF, April 4, 2000). 8 Table 3.4-5 of the TH 10 study reports growth rates of 1.66 and 1.96 percent per year for TH 10 with and without the Northstar Commuter Rail respectively. 9 SRF, Inc., Traffic Study for Rivenwick 3rd Subdivision Residential Development in the City of Ramsey, October 2002. 21-4