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recipients to immediately deploy funds for the provision of government services has decreased <br />and the benefit of the presumption in reducing administrative burden is less relevant for those <br />governments that are not likely to avail themselves of the standard allowance described above. <br />Consistent with these considerations, the final rule requires recipients to exclude revenue <br />loss due to tax changes adopted after January 6, 2022. Eliminating revenue loss due to tax <br />changes from the presumption is appropriate given the significance of tax revenue as a portion of <br />all revenue for state and local governments, the direct impact of tax policy decisions on revenue <br />collected, and the relative ease with which recipients can isolate the estimated effect of a tax <br />change on revenue.296 Most state budgeting processes require a "budget score," often developed <br />through a consensus process with executive and legislative branch experts,297 and Treasury <br />expects that larger localities, those most likely to utilize the revenue loss formula rather than the <br />standard allowance, also regularly use revenue or budget estimates when considering changes to <br />tax policies. As such, in many cases, recipients already prepare estimates of the impact of tax <br />changes on revenue, and as discussed below, Treasury will generally permit recipients to rely on <br />such estimates in adjusting their revenue loss calculations. <br />Reductions in revenue that are not attributable to tax changes would continue to be <br />subject to the presumption. A requirement that recipients evaluate the revenue effect of changes <br />in discretionary policy actions other than tax changes would be more difficult for recipients than <br />evaluating the changes attributable to tax changes given that state and local governments do not <br />generally prepare estimates of the revenue effects of other actions. Finally, as noted above, taxes <br />296 Treasury considered whether to also eliminate the presumption with respect to losses resulting from other <br />changes in policy, such as decreases in user fees or fines. However, the effects of these changes are more minor <br />overall and would be more challenging to accurately identify and quantify, so the administrability benefit of the <br />presumption for recipients outweighs whatever distortion there might be as a result of not reflecting such changes. <br />297 See generally, National Association of State Budget Officers, Budget Processes in the States, (2021), available at <br />https://higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/NASBO/9d2d2db 1-c943-4flb-b750- <br />0fca152d64c2/UploadedImages/Budget%20Processess/NASBO_2021_Budget_Processes_in_the_States_S.pdf <br />253 <br />