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are the single largest source of revenue for state and local government recipients in the <br />aggregate. <br />Revisions to Presumption to Address Tax Reductions <br />For these reasons, Treasury is providing in the final rule that changes in general revenue <br />that are caused by tax cuts adopted after the date of adoption of the final rule (January 6, 2022) <br />will not be treated as due to the public health emergency, and the estimated fiscal impact of such <br />tax cuts must be added to the calculation of "actual revenue" for purposes of calculation dates <br />that occur on or after April 1, 2022. Tax cuts include final legislative or regulatory action or a <br />new or changed administrative interpretation that reduces any tax (by providing for a reduction <br />in a rate, a rebate, a deduction, a credit, or otherwise) or delays the imposition of any tax or tax <br />increase and that the recipient assesses has had the effect of reducing tax revenue relative to <br />current law. This includes the phase -in or taking effect of any statute or rule if the phase -in or <br />taking effect was not prescribed prior to the issuance of the final rule. <br />In assessing whether a tax change has had the effect of reducing tax revenue, recipients <br />may either calculate the actual effect on revenue or rely on estimates prepared at the time the tax <br />change was adopted. More specifically, recipients may rely on information typically prepared in <br />the course of developing the budget (e.g., expected revenues) and/or considering tax changes <br />(e.g., budget scores, revenue notes) to determine the amount of revenue that would have been <br />collected in the absence of the tax cut, as long as those estimates are based on reasonable <br />assumptions and do not use dynamic methodologies that incorporate the projected effects of <br />macroeconomic growth, given that macroeconomic growth is accounted for in the counterfactual <br />growth assumptions. Recipients that choose to calculate the actual effect of a tax change on <br />254 <br />