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possible that the 1982 legislature could change it <br />before it goes into effect. <br />Projecting Ramsey's local aid for 1983-86 is very' <br />difficult because it depends so much on the formula <br />that tends to change from year to year, and how much <br />the state appropriates for local aid. Under the <br />p~esent formula, the amount Ramsey may receive in 1983 <br />beyond the minimum will depend on whether there are any <br />funds left after calculating all the other communities' <br />minimums. Due to this uncertainty, the local aid <br />projection for Ramsey is based on the assumption that <br />its local aid will increase by 7.3% per year from 1982- <br />86, which is the percentage that the stat,wide <br />appropriation for local aid will increase from 1982-83. <br /> <br />3. Other Revenu~ <br /> The other revenue categories show no trends as to <br /> whether they are increasing or decreasing, so for <br /> projection purposes, they are assumed to remain at a <br /> constant level over the next five years. Since Ramsey <br /> is about to begin to provide sewer and water services, <br /> the revenue derived from the user charges will be a new <br /> category to be added to the operating budget. For <br /> projection purposes, however, it has been assumed that <br /> the user charge revenue will equal the operating <br /> expenditures, and will have no impact on the projected <br /> revenue surplus or deficit. <br /> <br /> 4. Summary of Operating Revenue Projections <br /> The levy limit base and other revenue projections are <br /> added to get the operating revenue projections by year <br /> for each of the population growth assumptions. <br /> <br />Be <br /> <br />Operating Expenditure Projections <br />The operating expenditures by category from 1978-81 were <br />analyzed to determine the rate of growth. During the period <br />when population was growing 7.4% per year, expenditures grew <br />by 25% per year. Some of this growth was due to <br />inflation,some due to the greater numbers of people <br />receive city services, and some was due to the expansion and <br />improvement of services as Ramsey was becoming more urban in <br />character. The two budget categories that increased fastest <br />were public safety averaging 41.8% per year and parks <br />operation and maintenance at 74%. The large percentage for <br />parks is somewhat due to the small base from which it <br />started. <br /> The high, medium, and low expenditure projections were made <br /> in the following manner. It was assumed that 8% of the <br /> annual increase had been and would continue to be due to <br /> inflation, the rest of the increase was assumed to be due to <br /> population growth and the increased service levels that an <br /> <br />-5- <br /> <br /> <br />