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urbanizing population demands. For the high projections, <br /> the same rate of increase from 1978-81 for each budget <br /> category was continued for 1982-86, since the inflation rate <br /> and population growth rate, and expansion of services would <br /> also continue. For the medium an low projections, the <br /> growth rate for each category was reduced proportionately, <br /> after ~lowing for an 8% inflation rats. <br /> C. Pro~eeted Surplus or Deficit Revenue <br /> A comparison of the projected revenues and expenditures, as <br /> shown in Figures 4 and 5 indicates that levy limits will <br /> have significant impact on the City of Ramsey. Since the <br /> levy limit is permitted to increase only 8% per year, after <br /> the homestead growth adjustment there is no allowance for <br /> the improvement or expansion of services that and urbanizing <br /> community such as Ramsey may find necessary. What this will <br /> mean is that the city will have to do one of the following <br /> to balance future revenues and expenditures: <br /> o mainitain city services at the current level rather <br /> than expanding or improving them. If inflation exceeds <br /> 8%, the levels of service would have to be cut back to <br /> maintain a balance. <br /> <br /> o obtain authorization by whatever means provided by law <br /> to exceed the levy limit, such as a referendum. <br /> Under the high projections, the gap between revenues and <br /> expenditures is the greatest. This may be due to the <br /> assumption that the expansion of such services as public <br /> safety and parks operation and maintenance will continue at <br /> the same rate as in the past. The revenue shortfall under <br /> the medium and low projections is not as great, because the <br /> need to expand and improve services under the slower growth <br /> rate would not be as great. <br /> Ail of the foregoing discussion assumes that the future <br /> inflation rate will be 8%. If this rate is actually greater <br /> than 8%, and the levy limit percentage is not increased, <br /> then the city may have to actually reduce levels of service <br /> in order to balance revenues and expenditures. <br /> As far as the impact of this analysis on capital improvement <br /> programming is concerned, it appears that the city will not <br /> be likely to have surplus revenues available to finance <br /> capital improvements on a "pay as you go" basis. <br />III. Capital Improvements Financin6 Method{ <br /> A. Previous Methods and Policies <br /> The city has used several means of financing capital <br /> improvemehts in the past that would seem to establish <br /> certain precedents or policies for its capital improvement <br /> program up to 1986. Revenue sharing funds have been used <br /> <br />-6- <br /> <br /> <br />