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1995 Working Papers
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1995 Working Papers
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<br />-', <br /> <br />Maximum Population Projection . <br />Based on Current Zoning with No Resubdivision <br /> <br />· Current population is 15,500 residents (95%) <br /> <br />· 178 rural lots currently available (95%) <br /> <br />· 325 urban lots currently available (95%) <br /> <br />· MUSA will be expanded as proposed in 1993 Expansion Request (80%) <br /> <br />· 1,343 acres vacant residential land in proposed MUSA (90%) <br /> <br />· 3 lots per acre for urban development (90%) <br /> <br />· 3.4 Persons per household (55%) <br /> <br />· No resubdivision of previously developed property (80%) <br /> <br />· Minimal subdivision of property in rural area (60%) <br /> <br />· 50% of acres available for resubdivision will be subdivided (55%) <br /> <br />· Using the Metropolitan Council building permit activity projections of 181 new homes each <br />year equates to a population growth of 615 persons per year. The City would reach the <br />maximum in 2019. (50%) <br /> <br />· Using the building permit activity projections of 205 new homes each year would increase the <br />population 697 persons per year. The City would reach the maximum in 2016. (70%) <br /> <br />· Using the current average of 271 new home permits the City would see a population growth of <br />921 persons per year. The City would attain the maximum population in 2011. (50%) <br /> <br />Formula <br />ta = total acres <br />Va = lots per acre <br />pph = persons per household <br />(ta)(Va) = Available Lots <br />(Available Lots)(Pph) = Population <br /> <br />Vacant Residential Acres in MUSA Formula <br />(1,343 ta)(3 Va) = 4,029 lots <br />(4,029 lots) (3.4 pph) = 13,698.6 persons <br /> <br />Vacant Lots <br /> <br />(178 rural lots) + (325 urban lots) = 503 lots <br />(503 lots)(3.4 pph) = 1,710.2 persons <br /> <br />Total Population <br />Vacant Property in MUSA <br />Vacant Lots <br />Current Population <br /> <br />13,698.6 persons <br />1,710.2 persons <br />15.500.0 persons <br />30,908.8 persons <br />30,909 <br /> <br />Maximum Population Projection <br /> <br />Page 4 <br />Printed 9/28/95 <br />
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