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1995 Working Papers
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1995 Working Papers
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<br />Maximum Population Projection - <br />Based on Projected Rezoning with No Resubdivision <br /> <br />· All of the above assumptions would be the same except that property west of Ramsey Blvd. <br />would be rezoned to Residential. (70%) <br /> <br />· Using the Metropolitan Council building permit activity projections of 181 new homes each <br />year would equate to a population growth of 615 persons per year. The City would reach this <br />maximum in the year 2026. (50%) <br /> <br />· Using the building permit activity projections of 205 new homes each year would increase the <br />population 697 persons per year. The City would reach the maximum in 2022. (70%) <br /> <br />· Using the current average of 271 new home pennits the City would see a population growth of <br />921 persons per year. The City would attain the maximum population in 2015. (50%) <br /> <br />Formula <br />ta = total acres <br />Va = lots per acre <br />pph = persons per household <br /> <br />(ta)(Va) = Available Lots <br />(Available Lots)(Pph) = Population <br /> <br />Resu bdi vision <br /> <br />(2,000 ta)(.50) = 1,000 acres <br />(1,000 acres)(3 Va) = 3,000 lots <br />(3,000 lots)(3.4 pph) = 10,200 persons <br /> <br />Vacant Residential Acres in MUSA Formula <br />(1,748 ta)(3 Va) = 5,244 lots <br />(5,244 lots) (3.4 pph) = 17,829.6 persons <br /> <br />Vacant Lots <br /> <br />(178 rural lots) + (325 urban lots) = 503 lots <br />(503 lots)(3.4 pph) = 1,710.2 persons <br /> <br />Total Population <br />Vacant Property in MUSA <br />Vacant Lots <br />Current Population <br /> <br />17,829.6 persons <br />1,710.2 persons <br />15.500.0 persons <br />35,039.8 persons <br />35,040 <br /> <br />Maximum Population Projection <br /> <br />Page 5 <br />Printed 9/28/95 <br />
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