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e e ... City of Ramsey Ryan Schroeder & James Gromberg 427-1410 12-9-93 Council staff reviewed all materials sent by Ramsey including the letter (received 11-30), the housing unit projections, forecast materials and the C.I.P. at a joint Council staff session this week. The staff session concluded with the following Ramsey plan needs. 1. Primarily because of the lack of information regarding impact on the transportation system (relating both to current and proposed Ramsey development) we still cannot proceed with the plan review. Also, it is critical that the city and Council reach agreement on forecasts and MUSA land area so that current information can be provided to the transportation planners (the same forecast data needs to be used for all planning purposes). (Carl Ohm 291-6507) 2. There remains a need to clarify some additional wastewater material in the plan - see attached memo from Carl Schenk (291-6410). 3. The city also needs to address the aviation airspace obstruction issue in its plan - see materials enclosed from Chauncey Case (291-6342). 4. Staff has reviewed both the your Housing units letter (12-3-93) and the forecast data. Please be reminded that the factor .46 acres per household relates to the sum of all urban land uses in the Ramsey MUSA, not just residential uses. We have re-evaluated Ramsey's forecast based upon the combination of recent city growth and growth over the most recent long-term trend (1983 - 1993). We believe that a forecast increase to an average of 180 units per year is warranted based upon these trends. This is an optimistic forecast for the city and this section of the metro area, given the regionwide forecast trends. We would like to see most of these units going into the Ramsey MUSA, but believe that 85 to 90 percent going in to the urban area is a realistic percentage share given Ramsey's location and overall community size. A forecast of 180 units/year or 1800 units over the ten year (1990 - 2000) period (less 10 percent for rural housing yields 1620 units): 1620 x .46 yields an overall urban land demand of 745 acres. Taking this number (745) times 1.5 (to build in the five year oversupply) yields 1,118 Acres (this is the maximum MUSA size in "suitable" vacant acres that the Council can justify for 2000). Please refer to the explanatory memos on the Urban Land demand/supply procedure I left with you last month. 5. We currently show 916 acres of vacant suitable (wetlands removed) land in the Ramsey MUSA. Thus we can justify only a 202 (1,118 - 916) acre MUSA increase for the city at this time. If the city can document that some of the vacant land we show was actually developed or should be classed as man-made wetlands as of 1990 (that we could not discern on the photographs) there may be reason to adjust our urban land supply total. 6. The Ramsey aerial photograph copies and the land use overlay prints you ordered from the Council will be ready and shipped today according to Deb Crouley. If they do not arrive by mid- next week please call her at 291-6343. Once you have examined this material please call me or Deb Crouley to set up a joint session where we can work to resolve any inconsistencies relating to 1990 land use (as specified in No.5 above). Once we resolve the incomplete transportation, wastewater and airports issues we can proceed with the plan review. Thank you, Bob Davis (291-6317)