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03/09/88
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03/09/88
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Meetings
Meeting Document Type
Agenda
Document Title
Economic Development Commission
Document Date
03/09/1988
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<br />Commercial real estate! <br /> <br />1 <br />. <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />,Metr() overbuilding will slow growth, <br />maintain high vacancy rate, Towle says <br /> <br />. <br />i <br />i <br />1 <br />i <br />1 <br /> <br />1 <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Overbuilding in nearly all segments <br />"of the Twin Cities commercial real <br />"estate market will mean slower <br />growth and continued high vacancies <br />in 1988. Towle Real Estate Co. said <br />In its first annual industry review last <br />week. <br /> <br />"In the near future we will see Ie$! <br />development." said Towle Chairman <br />William Reiling, although he noted <br />that there is reason for optimism <br />l>ecause of the area's strong and di- <br />versified economic base. He said lo- <br />cal developers will ha ve to turn to <br />more assertive marketing and new <br />approaches such as redeveloping old- <br />er industrial and retail projects. <br /> <br />At present growth rates, tbe Twin <br />Cities has a two-year supply of eXCe$! <br />office space, and the retail market, <br />although bealthy now, is in danger of <br />oversaturation from planned pro- <br />jects, Towle specialists said. Industri- <br />al space also bas been overbuilt dur- <br />ing the past two years and well-locat- <br />ed vacant land for development is in <br />shan supply. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />"~ <br /> <br />Office vacancies in the Twin Cities <br />metro area. wbich were at 17 percent <br />in 1987, are expected to climb to 22 <br />percent by the end of the year as new <br />buildings sucb as Norwest Center in <br />Minneapolis and the World Trade <br />Center in St. Paul come on line, said <br />Larry Chevalier, a Towle senior of- <br />fice sales associate. " <br /> <br />He predicted that metro office vacan- <br />cies would drop to 18 percent in 1989 <br />and about 15 percent by 1990 since <br />no new speculative office buildings <br />(those without significant tenant <br />commitments) are under construc:- <br />tion in downtown Minneapolis or St <br />~aul. <br /> <br />Tbe southwest suburban area, includ- <br />ing Bloomington. Eden Prairie. Edi- <br />na and pans ofadjacent suburbs. bas <br />been the only Iota! market where <br />absorption of new office space bas <br />outpa<td development. Chevalier <br />said. Ie. vacancy rate dropped slight- <br />ly to ::.2 percent by the end of 1987 <br />from 22.6 percent a year earlier. <br /> <br /> <br />Development <br /> <br />Susan E. Peterson and <br /> <br />Richard Meryhew <br /> <br />Chevalier noted that office tenants <br />are continuing to be wOoed aggres- <br />sively with concessions such as free <br />rent, extra amenities and lease buy- <br />outs. Lease discounts are ranging <br />from 15 percent to 20 percent of the <br />. stated rental rate, following a nation- <br />al trend that ties discounts to the <br />vacancy rate, he said. Thus, if the <br />vacancy rate in a particular area is 20 <br />percent, discounts" also will average <br />20 percent <br /> <br />About I million square feet of retail <br />space was added to the Twin Cities <br />market last year, including 12 sho~ <br />ping centers of more than 30,000 <br />square feet. said Kathleen Nye, a <br />Towle retail specialist. Retail vacan- <br />cies in the metro area are at a three- <br />year high of 7 percent, sbe said. and <br />with nearly an additional I million <br />square feet of space under construc:- <br />tion, further increases are expected. <br /> <br />Nye said large regional malls are con- <br />tinuing to bave very low vacancy <br />rates, currently at 3 percent, while the <br />rate lor medium-sized community <br />centers is 7.5 percent. Neighborbood <br />strip centers, which amounted to 44 <br />percent of the new relaiI construction <br />last year, bave a 9 percent vacancy <br />rate. <br /> <br />, <br />A bigger glut of retail space may be <br />down the road, however. N ve said <br />there are proposals for 34 ne;' Twin <br />Cities retail centers totalling 10.8 <br /> <br />million square feet If all those plans <br />come to fruition. wbich is nol cer- <br />tain, that would increa.o;e the area's <br />retail space by more than a third. <br /> <br />ThaI increased space would far out. <br />strip the expected rise in consumer <br />retail buying. Nye said projections <br />show that the Twin Cities could sup- <br />pon an additional 2.3 million square <br />feet of retail by 199~ and 5 million <br />square feet more by 11)95. . <br /> <br />Industrial specialist Helen Brooks <br />said that up until mid-19B? local <br />developers contribuled loan over- <br />built industrial space market by con- <br />tinuing 10 build new speculative pro- <br />jects. Warehouse and combination <br />office-warehouse buildings had a va- <br />cancy rate of 17.5 percent in 1987. up <br />from 11.3 percent a year earlier. Va- <br />cancies in those projects are expected <br />to increase because of growing com- <br />petition from bigber-class office <br />showroomlbusiness center locations. <br /> <br />Hotels have tough year <br /> <br />wt year was a tough one for Ihe <br />Twin Cities hotel industry. according <br />to Pannell Kerr Forster. an account- <br />ing fino that specializes in botel con- <br />sulting. Occupancy rateS dropped in <br />most areas from already low levels <br />and continued below national aver- <br />"" ages. the company said. <br /> <br />Minneapolis and its surrounding sub- <br />urbs bad an average occupancy rate <br />of 60.9 percent in 1987, down from <br />62.8 percent a year earlier. The air- <br />pon area was hardest hit, as new <br />hotels caused the rate to drop fnur <br />percentage points and average room <br />rateS fell S 1.36 from 1986 levels. <br /> <br />SI. Paul area bOlels po"sted lower <br />rates than MinneaPolis but showed <br />an improv"ement from a year ago, <br />The metro area average occupancy <br />rate was 58.5 pen:en\ in 1987, com. <br />pared with 55.6 percent in 1986. <br /> <br />Downtown Minneapolis hotels saw <br />their occupancy drop to 60.8 percent <br />in 198~,"do...n from 63.1 percent a <br />year earlier. Last y.:ar's downtown 5L <br />Paul rate was 51.1 percent up from <br /> <br />.Feb. 29) 19/(;(3 <br /> <br />50.7 percenl in 1986. <br /> <br />Work begins on waste plant <br />Construction crews began work last <br />week on a S 10.5 million hazardous <br />waste treatment plant on a 4-acre site <br />in Roseville. <br /> <br />The 51,QOO.square-foot project is be- <br />ing built by Lancy International Inc., <br />a subsidiary of Alcoa. II has been <br />designed to collect, treat and recycle <br />Imzardous wastes from meta) finisb- <br />ing and electronics manufacturing in- <br />dustries throughout the Twin Cities. <br /> <br />The 51. Paul Port Authorit)' has fi. <br />nanced more than half the project's <br />cost through a' S6.2. million bond <br />sale. The project is the Port Authori- <br />ty's first suburban development <br /> <br />NSP to build in Maple Grove <br />Nonhero Slates Power Co. (NSP) is <br />building as) 7 million, 250.000- <br />square-foot office and. transformer <br />service cenler in a Maple Grove in- <br />dustrial park. The facility. which will <br />employ 110 workers. is scheduled for <br />completion in the summer of 1989. A <br />Maple Grove city official said N5P <br />bought 55 acres within the park and <br />will have room for future expansion <br />of the operation. <br /> <br />Home Center renovated <br />The Wayzata Home Center. a <br />40.000-square-foot bome.specialty <br />mall, has completed a major renov'a- <br />tion. Owner and developer Kenco <br />Properties Inc. boughl the former <br />furniture showroom building last <br />summer and spent S6oo,ooo for exle- <br />rior and interior renovation with a <br />skylil central staircase to lower level <br />shops. T enanlS specializing in borne <br />furnishings, accessories and decor <br />have leased 11 of the 16 available <br />shops. <br /> <br />SIaff wrilers Susan E. Peterson and <br />Richard Mef)'he... cover commercial <br />real estate - Peterson on tbe Minne- <br />apolis side of Ibe metro lrea, Mery- <br />be... on tbe St Paul side. <br /> <br />j{plS Tr/ I blWl.L <br /> <br />I I <br />
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