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<br />. . <br /> <br />City of Ramsey <br />Comprehensive Plan Amendment <br />Transportation Element <br /> <br />Based on expected absorption rates, build-out for the 2,390 acre tract would not occur until <br />after 2010. As shown in Table 3-4, the build-out trip generation estimates are very high. <br />The current land llse designations were estimated to generate 189,380 daily trips and 20,130 <br />PM peak hour trips. By comparison, the recommended land use designations would generate <br />a similar number of trips; 192,725 throughout the day and 19,815 during the PM peak hour. <br /> <br />The analysis did not account for shared or pass-by trips, which would reduce the estimated <br />trip totals, but not by any substantial amounts. Neither directional distribution nor traffic <br />assignment analyses were conducted to determine the percentage of trips that would access <br />TH 10 or other roads serving the 2,390 acre tract of land. It is fair to assume that a <br />significant portion of the trips would access TH 10, because of the regional characteristics of <br />the current and recommended land use designations. <br /> <br />TH 47 Travel Demand and Corridor Study <br /> <br />Based on analysis conducted for the Anoka County 2010 Comprehensive Transportation Plan <br />(BRW, Inc.; 1995), TH 47 between CSAH 5 and CR 116 will operate at LOS "D" by 2010. <br />Analysis showed, as illustrated on Figure 3-4, that this segment of TH 47 will carry 14,530 <br />vehicles per day. The Anoka County Plan recommended an upgrade to four lanes to provide <br />additional capacity for the forecast volume of traffic. No other roads or segments of roads in <br />Ramsey were identified in the Anoka County Plan as needing capacity additions. <br /> <br />The City of Ramsey has determined that available land along TH 47 between 167th Avenue <br />and CR 116 should be developed for residential and commercial use. Current adjacent land <br />uses consist mostly of agricultural and single family residential developments. <br /> <br />Notwithstanding the basic rural environment, this segment of TH 47 is beginning to <br />demonstrate land use patterns and traffic characteristics typical of many two lane highways <br />that provide access for Greater Minnesota to the Minneapolis and St. Paul metropolitan areas <br />and the regional road system. As more development occurs along TH 47, additional traffic <br />will use the road and create the need for additional access. Numerous turning movements, <br />combined with the forecast high volumes along TH 47 create operational and safety <br />problems. The TH 47 corridor already has an accident rate of 2.9 accidents per million <br />vehicle miles. This rate is 140 percent higher than the statewide average for similar two lane <br />roads. <br /> <br />Page 3-23 <br />