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FUTURE CONDITIONS ANALYSIS <br />FUTURE CONDITIONS ANALYSIS <br />Forecasting Overview <br />Travel demand forecasting was completed within the study area using the 2030 regional model modified with <br />smaller traffic analysis zones taken from the Anoka County travel demand model to better represent the study <br />area. Projected daily traffic and peak hour traffic was output from the model for roadway segments within the <br />corridor, including the primary county and local road connections to the highway. <br />VISSIM Process <br />VISSIM was used to analyze the projected 2030 traffic volumes on the proposed network. The traffic model de- <br />veloped for Project Group 6 was used and the increased volumes were entered from the Regional Travel Demand <br />Model output. <br />Results <br />Table 2 - Evening Rush Hour Travel Time and Delay Comparison <br />Scenario <br />Afternoon Rush EB <br />Travel Time (s) <br />Afternoon Rush WB <br />Travel Time (s) <br />Afternoon Rush <br />Total Delay (veh-hr) <br />2013 Volumes with <br />Existing Geometry <br />10 min 0 sec <br />12 min 48 sec <br />374 <br />2013 Volumes with <br />Proposed Geometry <br />8 min 37 sec <br />8 min 15 sec <br />45 <br />2030 Forecasted Volumes <br />with Proposed Geometry <br />11 min 3 sec <br />8 min 23 sec <br />129 <br />With the 2030 forecasted traffic volumes, the types of improvements recommended for the study corridor appear <br />to handle the majority of the traffic based on model results. For eastbound traffic, travel times are increased <br />compared to the existing driving conditions. The majority of this increase can likely be attributed to the heavy <br />southbound left turn volume at Thurston Ave. due to the merge with mainline eastbound traffic. <br />Westbound traffic in the evening rush hour is similar to what it would be with improvements in 2013 within the <br />study corridor. The tight interchange spacing east of the study area starting at or before 7th Ave. and continuing <br />to Main St. appears to be causing a bottleneck for traffic. This is limiting the number of vehicles entering the <br />study corridor and therefore not increasing travel time for westbound traffic above the projected travel time with <br />2013 traffic volumes and improved intersections. <br />HIGHWAY 10 ACCESS PLANNING STUDY <br />72 <br />